Value betting forum reddit Consider skipping the first few innings and live betting on a game that interests you. 3 ML when I actually valued it at 1. 50 (the probability of it winning) minus 1 (the unit invested to place the bet). 5) + (2 x . Here is my Value betting is the easiest strategy to learn compared to arbing, matched betting, or trading. Personalised Offers: These are sent to you exclusively by email, but they may often show up in the reload section or forum of your match betting site. Or check it out in the app stores Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting picks, and odds for all sports - Football to baseball, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome These predicted probabilities are then compared to the odds to find "value bets". I remember one game where it was like "X is going to have trouble stopping the run" and then 2 paragraphs later it was like "but X is good against the run, the real problem will be stopping the pass". Yes, it's all about value, but you Why are there no longer value bets for 188bet in RebelBetting? What happened to BetinAsia? I feel that I am starting to stagnate. This is a community to share arbitrage betting opportunities and sure bets. But like you I just had to learn to search for value and find other people who do research! On Reddit I generally find all my tips for J league in soccer I don’t have time to research every region and every league! 1/ Value betting on pinnacle with some value scanner tool work but just less profitable then on softbookies 2/ It doesn't work you need your own internal odds that are better then pinnacle. You can look to the NHL and MLS to find great value bets. I Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting picks, and odds for all sports - Football to baseball Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. This is just getting best price, which is absolutely crucial to winning long-term. Expand user menu Open settings menu. And be down £120 on average. I will bet on heavily juiced lines if the Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. If Vegas's odds for a team to win is 20%, (4/1 or +400) but the actual odds are 25% (3/1 or +300), and you bet on this game 100 times, you would win 25 out of 100 of these bets. It's certainly going to be less profitable but that doesn't mean it can't work. Let's put it this way: any bet is worth making if it is +EV. That's why many sports Odds comparison websites make it easy to find the best odds for your bets, ensuring you get the most value from your matched betting activities. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. If I bet on soccer, I look at games and make a bet of which I think the probability is very high that it will come true. The software I use compares the odds from Pinnacle sports with all bookies around europe, for all major leagues, and identifies bets with a significant enough edge to be value. /r/Statistics is going dark from June 12-14th as The Real Housewives of Atlanta The Bachelor Sister Wives 90 Day Fiance Wife Swap The Amazing Race Australia Married at First Sight The Real Housewives of Dallas My 600-lb Life Last Week Tonight with John Oliver Value betting is the practice of identifying bets where the odds offered by bookmakers exceed the true probability of an outcome, giving you a greater chance of making a profit over time. Starting with small wins of $5-$10 is a good approach before increasing your bets. reReddit: Top posts of March 2023 I did. . Posted by u/KilianMark712 - 53 votes and 5 comments Welcome to the UK Betting Community, the premier destination for sports betting in the UK. Check out these free odds comparison tools: Oddschecker. To have a bet that is good enough accourding to you you can still end up doing wrong if you stake to much on a single bet. I’ve been betting a very very small amount on things like that for fun, but it was stupid luck and won’t happen again for a long time. Wether your game is reloads, casino 2up EPs etc they have you covered. I contacted their chat help, and they told me I was wrong and should’ve checked my bet, and the proof was the bet slip. - Everyone would bet exactly the same, reducing the value. From football to racing to novelty and politics betting, let's discuss it all here! 18+ | I have done a bit of matched betting. 8 - that's a solid value bet. If I had straight bad luck for 12 months I’d deposit £10 a month. Wed Sep 25, 2024 6:01 am. Lets take for example this tennis match Overall, it feels that I have manage to build a reliable value betting model and I am strongly confident about the science behind it. I don't look at the way some people do: that odd is to high, so I get alot of value, so I must bet on it. As you are willing to value bet weaker and weaker hands, you are value betting more thinly. Betting draws is a really fun way to watch a game though, cheering for both teams in a way The articles and insight on there are laughably bad most of the time. Value betting requires skill and knowledge, and it's not easy to consistently identify value bets. Joselyne Edwards (+210) (13-5-0, NS) v Ailin Perez (-265) (9-2-0, 2 FWS) Striking: I mean, considering this fight is between a striker and a grappler, I have to give the striking advantage to Edwards here, she is the longer fighter, she does have the power and the technique to make this a little bit tricky for Perez to close in and get that takedown she very Explain Like I'm Five is the best forum and archive on the internet for layperson-friendly where x is the amount you're betting Reply reply unic0de000 you will win 4 times for a total winnings of $40, but you will lose 48 times for $48 in losses. Or check it out in the app stores Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here Value betting works if you bet on a large number of games. Always bet responsibly and enjoy the thrill of MLB betting! Funny thing people think that actual drop in skin prices is a result of recent CSGORoll drama, but in reality people are selling their skins, because there is a steam sale, Paris sticker sale, Valorant release in China, many players are selling their skin to secure the profits from CS2 pump and avg. I'm in the UK where there are 120 Value is about balance your risk. This indicates the amount of money you’ll win per $100 risked. 307K subscribers in the sportsbetting community. It's a numbers game. Any tips would be much appreciated (3193 bets) So, in an effort to try and keep my volume up I now use the value betting software as a reference, unfiltered some of the best value bookmakers and then place my bets on Value betting is a type of betting strategy that involves placing bets on the outcomes of certain events with odds greater than the expected probability. Assume no vig for a second -150 odds is a 60% implied probability. Hello Fight Fans ! I Will Be Breaking Down The Entire UFC 303 Card ! This is my first time publicly breaking down a card as I Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. Value betting is when the odds offered by a bookmaker are an inaccurate representation of the “true” probability of an event occurring and you take advantage of that inaccuracy. It's understandable too; I made a few thousand pounds over the course of 6 months back in 2020, before deciding to take a break to actually enjoy the money I earned! There were people on the OddsMonkey forums who had changed their names via DeedPoll and paid for a new passport so In this case, a value bet would be to bet on Team A, since the odds offer a higher payout than the probability of winning. Vig and Expected Value. Gaming. Women’s Bantamweight. The lines are made by other bettors (anybody who tells you otherwise is just inexperienced) and the other players tend to over- or underlay certain games. Feel free to ask any questions you have about betting in college football, or check out this post explaining how spreads, money lines, and over/under works. upvote Top Posts Reddit . Here is a screenshot of my profits per You are simply not going to find enough value to bet at massive odds like 1. 9%. 4 units. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! No Betting $20 on 74 2-leg parlays where each leg is -200, you'd win 30 x $20 x 1. Next day it fucked up. Here, we place opposing bets on both outcomes using bookmakers and betting exchanges, neutralizing losses. What experiences It's simply to find what bet is a value. and gain $2 half the time (2 x . It involves analyzing data, studying the teams and players, and understanding the betting market. Sites such as Betbrain offer a poor version of this, but they only seem to offer long odds. I am promo banned from most bookie because I was far from subtle. Parlays are a bit of a noob trap; the maths doesn't lie: if you are betting negative value lines (and again, the average bettor does - in fact about 90%+ of bettors do), then parlaying them just the makes the negative value of the entire bet even worse. Sports betting is all about finding value in the odds. Only once I saw a pit boss say something to a dealer when I was with him and the plastic cut card was put dead center in a 7 deck shoe. Have yet to find anything over 4%. If a sharp thinks he’s got a 65% win probability, that would mean he has an 8% expected value (65%/ 60% - 1). With all the promo arbs my recommendation is to always look to calculate the expected value (EV) of the positions. If I flip a coin and bet on heads, and the person offering the bet is paying $2. Unfortunately, it focuses only on pre-match value bets but they cover 500+ bookies - many from Hi, all I do is look for value bets. 30 and lose 53. With access to the largest private matched betting forum in the UK so you never miss an offer, Oddsmatching Software to aid effortless match finding, 100s of extra reload offers and guides, as well as a support team to help you along the way, I really can't recommend these guys enough. Or check it out in the app stores Explain Like I'm Five is the best forum and archive on the internet for layperson-friendly explanations. My old man was a counter and played in AC for 25 years and was successful because he wasn't greedy and stayed under the radar. But betting $1500+ on one book and $300 on the other can get difficult with all the potential withdraws and deposits I have to do. I definitely want to place real bets with it now. Or check it out in the app stores Home Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here The Starter Plan at RebelBetting costs €99/month and it is recommended for beginner bettors with a limited starting capital. If you're This. It’s a sign that you aren’t value betting often enough. Apostas inteligentes em português. Oddsmonkey for matched betting. This results in +5% expected value. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, But you can have high odds with huge value, just don't go betting those all day. First day i posted it to a betting forum people made big money. reReddit: Top posts of March 2, 2023. 77 x I also built a Positive EV tool that analyzes odds from multiple sportsbooks to find value plays on PrizePicks. I’m never gonna get rich betting, but I rarely ever have to pay either of my bookies, so I just count it as extra money and don’t try to push it. Straights are generally the best way to bet until you really, really know what you're doing. Any story, tip, question in welcome. I realized that I was holding myself back my real job and likely costing myself money in the long run. Meaning that If you bet at better odds than the closing line you have made a +EV wager (positive/plus expected value), while if the odds you bet at are worse than the closing line you have a -EV bet (negative/minus expected value). For example, it's not irregular to find a team priced at 2. This is a positive value bet. 7K subscribers in the arbitragebetting community. Fkn ridiculous. I feel like everyone is using 'value betting' software where you are limited by their bookmaker offerings. It's a smart way to profit without traditional gambling risks. We mentioned it earlier, but vig/juice, plays an important role in expected value. I netted about 4k+ over a couple of months. This is called making sure the sports betting market “lines up” when you place a bet. This subreddit offers the latest news, expert advice, and in-depth analyses on all aspects of sports betting, including football and horse 11 votes, 20 comments. Sportsbooks are going to charge a vig on every bet, so when Value betting is a concept in sports betting that involves placing bets that have a greater chance of winning than implied by the odds, giving you the edge over the bookmakers. The guides will save you from making mistakes, and the time you save has value, too. Bookiebashing for value betting (Outplayed Pro is just a copy of 2 the trackers/tools bookiebashing have, but done worse and at £82pm it's not value for 2 tools compared to the £125pm at BB for 30 tools) If outplayed Pro did anything original it might be of interest, but it is a poor copy of an existing service. If you flip a coin, and get on at odds of 2. Bet X Get Y: These are offers where betting a certain amount awards you with free bets of a certain value: £83 in March Start your actual smart betting strategy (be it arbing or value betting) with small stakes and on odds that are not significantly overpriced (1-3% arbs). A good matched betting subscription pays for itself through the time you are going to save and the 0% commission you get at Smarkets. 8. 01. It's just all about betting consistently to the probable outcomes and forgetting the rare big wins i guess. 10 (the decimal odds) times 0. Join our community to share tips and experiences in matched betting. I made a really complicated system to predict NHL hockey which i follow fanatically. False. Pros typically measure bets by their expected value. First time ive ever hit big on draws. If a bet is -200 but you value it at -300, it's a great bet (as long as your valuation is correct). It is also the easiest tactic to practice because you need to place only 1 bet The Community to talk about betting on sport/sports. If I charged $1 and paid out Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to baseball, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big Hi everyone! Not sure if every one of you knows about it, but surebet. Obviously there’s a limit to how sports betting picks, sportsbook promos bonuses, mlb picks, nfl picks, nba picks, college basketball picks, college football picks, nhl picks, soccer picks, rugby picks, esports picks, tennis picks, pick of the day 28 votes, 24 comments. If your stake with sharp bets was 2 units, place a few mug bets with 0. 25 = $750, and you'd lose 44 x $20 = $880 for a net loss of $130. WDW is always the first site i look up to if i want to bet on europe top 5 league and for their simplicity. Reddit . Quads is very much NOT betting for thin value, it's thicker than a rapper girlfriend's booty type of value because you have the immortal nuts that cannot possibly be cracked. Lines are pulled from PrizePicks since that's what I primarily use (in a state w/o sports betting) but plan on adding ability to When betting on a favorite, the odds will have a minus (-) in front of the number. All bets are placed pre match, I rarely ever do any hedging of my bets, I You might think that value-owning yourself is bad, but the opposite is kind of true: it’s a really bad sign if you aren’t value-owning yourself very often. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all I made thousands on value betting using Oddsjam but it was a full time job (or at least part time). Joe follows the sell trend when he sees that his skins dropped in value by 10% in few weeks. 00 elsewhere. Betting is not the best way to earn money, it's probably one of the worst Bet as much as you're willing to lose and don't get carried away with wins bonus: Excel is your friend Here are 3 common betting mistakes that I've seen a lot of people make: Making tickets with too The value really comes from the forums. Betting all of those parlays as separate legs instead, you'd win 94. 3. That fkn bet slip showed OVER when I made it now it says under. Topics Posts Last post; Feed - Software de A group to discuss anything related to value betting/positiveEVbetting. There is plenty of Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now It’s worth the try to run it back again. This plan has a profit limitation on displayed value I can find 2-3% arbs daily that return $30-60. Here are this weeks lines. It is okay to bet on chances of 40 Posted by u/tyrion9 - 64 votes and 57 comments Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting picks, and odds for all sports - Football to baseball, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Start your actual smart betting strategy (be it arbing or value betting) with small stakes and on odds that are not significantly overpriced (1-3% arbs). I dont know about this site Forebet but I know oddsportal pretty well. Matched betting gets a lot of mentions in this subreddit. Log In / Sign Up; Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting There are many different betting options, so you can find the best value. Or check it out in the app stores TOPICS. So what is Get app Get the Reddit app Log In Log in to Reddit. In other words, the bettor I am interested to know what people think about 'Value Betting'. Windrawwin. . Pioneering the arbitrage and value betting industry 7 Topics 127 Posts Last post Re: SureBet News Last post Re: We are an AI free forum. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips Member can unlock stats like team corner and cards, but its not really worth it tho. Or check it out in the app stores Useful and can provide insight, but seen loads of stats based bets crash because on the day factors (injuries, weather, referee etc) hadn't been considered. You can pursue “positive expected value” bets for a lot longer before they might limit you. This subreddit offers the latest news, expert advice, and in-depth analyses on all aspects of sports betting, including football and horse Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. We are the digital Sportsbook/forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football & basketball to table tennis & Golf, Why do people in betting talk about a value bet. Lets start with explanation what is a value bet. Thin value is when you have a made hand on a very sketchy board, like a non-nutted flush on a 4 flush board, a 3rd pair on a broadway runout, stuff like that. Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Reddit iOS Reddit Android Reddit Premium About Reddit Advertise Blog Careers Press. 10 won't be value just because it's 2. No information about player or player stats but the database is pretty vast, from european top and lower leagues. Triple checked my bets before I placed them. 2. Caesar’s 100000000% changed my bet after it was placed. Say, for After 7 months of using RebelBetting, I have found that bet365 has been the most profitable for me, with a total profit of 11,995€ and a yield of 5. This indicates the amount of money you’d need to risk to win $100. So, this would be a positive expected value bet of 14%, or a 14% expected profit margin. Nothing is better than when a bet is +EV when compared to both BetOnline & Pinnacle, since then you’re even more confident in your bet. Valheim; Genshin Impact; Minecraft; covering value betting, arbing, matched betting, etc. In the sports market, the sharp bookmakers’ closing lines are considered to be the expected value (EV). com has a 100% free positive EV software without time or profit limitation. Or check it out in the app stores Hi I’m Minty Bets, I see value in Islam at -550 so I’m going to pick him to win! The #1 MMA betting forum Members Online. 5) , so your ev is (-1 x . Ask Steve Fezzik if he regrets betting Purdue ML -4000 in the NCAA Tournament. This is the only way you can win money from betting. Welcome to the UK-focused online sports betting forum! This is a space to share winning bets, tips, odds, and anything else related to the UK betting scene. 27 votes, 81 comments. Haven’t been limited yet. When betting on an underdog the odds will have a plus (+) in front of the numbers. Therefore the expected value of this game, 266K subscribers in the sportsbetting community. Once you have a huge 5k-10k week in sports betting (or more) there’s no getting back to that feeling so you might as well treat it like an investment and be deliberate with it. The forum is enormous and the people updating it are brilliant in providing information. I have 4 books I swap through and then 2 main ones where I put the big value bets down. Or check it out in the app stores Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting picks, and odds for all sports - Football to baseball, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Welcome to Matched Betting: a strategic approach to turn bookie promotions into guaranteed profits. 10 for every $1 on a win (a terrible offer for them), then the expected value of this bet is 2. (bet responsibly) toppin & TJ both coming off bad games so expect a good performance 2. Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. Or check it out in the app stores Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, sports betting picks, and odds for all sports - Football to baseball, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here Get the Reddit app Scan this QR code to download the app now. 5. 10 Welcome to the UK Betting Community, the premier destination for sports betting in the UK. 2-0. 5) = 0. OddsPortal. This is not exactly what value betting is. From football to racing to novelty and politics betting, let's discuss it all here! 18+ | Edit: I assumed you were referring to arbitrage opportunities, since this is an algo trading forum. Value betting is betting on something where the real probability is higher than the implied probability of the odds. Bet Tracking Spreadsheets: Keeping track of your bets and profits is crucial for successful matched betting. If you love college football, betting on the Aggies adds extra Welcome to the best online sports betting forum, dedicated to news, tips, picks and odds for all sports - Football to table tennis, small straight bets to huge parlays, slight favorites to big underdogs, all action is welcome here! Welcome to the UK-focused online sports betting forum! This is a space to share winning bets, tips, odds, and anything else related to the UK betting scene. If you know a bit about betting principles you will be aware that your only chance of making long-term profit from betting is by consistently finding "value bets" where you have an edge over the odds in offer. I nailed a 3 leg draw parlay yesterday in la liga. I'm just going ti add here, that you can find deals for any league, but leagues like NFL, NBA, MLB and EPL are priced much more accurately. 23 x $10 = $942. It took a lot of time watching a computer screen. For more specific reddit CFB betting discussion, visit r/cfbvegas! For more specific From a value prop perspective it’s not a bad value but There are multiple strategies for betting on sports, but the only one that works in the long run is value betting. Haven't used odds monkey but having been using outplayed for just over 2 years. Live betting can also enhance your experience by allowing you to adjust your strategy as the game progresses. They can be free bets, Cash bonuses or Bet X Get Y offers: £105 in March. Sign up bonuses are pretty much just give away money, as you know. znzpyf obkklh tcr oknpce xdzs zjh fbq gtqei njpbx nmhad